Jeffrey Rosenberg, Senior Portfolio Manager on BlackRock's Systematic Fixed Income Team, believes it will be a long time before consumer behavior and confidence is restored in the U.S. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says a strong social safety net will keep a coronavirus recession from becoming a depression. Larry Kudlow, National Economic Council Director, says he does not expect to see any movements in regards to tariffs right now. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says no amount of oil supply cut will take care of the demand losses.
Surveillance: Historic Jobless Claims With Gapen
Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets, says the end of March market rally was due to a positive reaction out of Washington. Jason Furman, Harvard University professor and Former Obama Economic Advisor, says there will be very high unemployment for the rest of this year and next year. Michael Gapen, Barclays Chief U.S. Economist, says March jobs report is already old news; jobless claims data is the most important information we have. Jonathan Miller, Miller Samuel Real Estate Appraisers & Consultants, details how the housing market is dealing with fallout from the coronavirus.
Surveillance: Post-Virus Recovery with Dudley
Olivier Blanchard, Peterson Institute Senior Fellow, says getting the infection rate down is an absolute priority. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says the post-pandemic economic recovery will not be as powerful as hoped because of higher debt burdens. Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, says that U.S. monetary and fiscal policy is moving in the right direction. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management Chairman & Portfolio Manager, says there is nothing normal about where markets are today. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman, breaks down his interview with Former U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis.
Surveillance: Virus Impact on Americans With Gallup's Younis
Carmen Reinhart, Harvard Kennedy School Professor of the International Finance System, says the coronavirus, Saudi-Russia oil war, and risk of debt defaults have created a perfect storm for emerging markets. Mohamed Younis, Gallup Editor in Chief, reports that 52% of working Americans say their financial situation has already been affected by the coronavirus. Oliver Chen, Cowen Senior Equity Research Analyst, says the speed and viability of consumer spending post-crisis will be challenging. Shahab Jalinoos Credit Suisse Head of FX and Macro Trading Strategy, expects dollar strength to be relatively short-term. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives Founder & President, says the effectiveness of U.S. fiscal stimulus measures will determine if businesses can stay open and restart operations.
Surveillance: Fed's Balance Sheet With Bullard
Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Global Head of Commodities & Derivatives Research, expects to see the steepest decline in global oil consumption before the summer. James Bullard, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President, says the Fed has capacity to carry 10% more debt. Bruce Kasman, JPMorgan Chief Economist and Managing Director of Global Research, says he wouldn't be surprised to see more Fed action. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says the United States will become less dependent on single supply sources in the future as a result of the coronavirus. Sebastien Galy, Nordea Bank Senior Macro Strategist, believes the Fed will continue to surprise and adapt to this brutal situation.