The DeFi Report

Nearly 60% of S&P 500 stocks are already in a bear market. So why is Mike still bullish on Bitcoin? Mike and Ryan unpack the stealth selloff in stocks, AI financing fears, rising yields, and the looming midterms. They also break down Bitcoin’s stronger market structure, signs of seller exhaustion, and the $76K support level that could put the early-bull thesis to the test.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:16 Crypto’s Early Bull Faces a Wall of Worry
3:48 Bitcoin’s Range-Bound Test and Market Catalysts
6:41 Who’s Buying Bitcoin—and Will They Hold?
13:14 ETF Flows, Miner Confidence, and Altcoin Resets
17:48 Ethereum’s Struggle Against Bitcoin
22:19 Is a Stealth Bear Market Already Underway?
28:19 Has the Worst of the Market Selloff Passed?
33:05 Midterms, Market Risks, and Political Uncertainty
39:03 Bitcoin’s Key Test: The 50-Week Moving Average
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Fear has returned to crypto, but the next rally may be closer than it looks. Mike and Ryan break down Bitcoin’s resilience amid a sharp altcoin selloff, the holder rotation driving its consolidation, and why seller exhaustion could set up the next move. They also discuss the $87K breakout level, mounting stress in AI debt markets, Bitcoin’s divergence from the Nasdaq, and whether quality altcoins are becoming attractive again.
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RESOURCES
The Watch List: ETH Q3 Update
https://thedefireport.io/research/the-watch-list-eth-q3-update
The Watch List: SOL Q3 Update
https://thedefireport.io/research/the-watch-list-sol-q3-update
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:13 Bitcoin Holds Strong as Altcoins Fearful
4:00 Bitcoin’s Cycle Signals & Capitulation
11:19 Bitcoin Dominance and Strategy’s Next Move
17:51 AI Debt Fears & Credit Spreads
22:30 Treasury Yields, Stocks, & Capital Flows
31:42 Debt Risks, Bitcoin, & Government Intervention
35:30 Bitcoin Versus & Nasdaq
39:11 Altcoin Dips and Portfolio Strategy
43:02 Ether, Solana, & Closing Thoughts
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

An early bull market doesn’t always feel bullish. Mike and Ryan compare today’s crypto setup to 2023, when Bitcoin chopped sideways for seven months before its next major rally. They break down Mike’s 90% early-bull conviction, the critical 50-week moving average, and why BTC could remain range-bound between $80K and $95K. Plus, the altcoin reset, whether Robinhood Chain could become this cycle’s Solana, and the macro risks shaping what comes next.
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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro
0:13 Early Bull Reset
2:42 2023 Market Echo
6:59 Bitcoin At The 50-Week
16:57 Altcoins Versus Bitcoin
26:38 Robinhood Chain Speculation
32:09 CPI And Yields Jump
37:37 Debasement And Policy
40:51 Reset Opportunities In Alts
44:04 Closing The Loop

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Bitcoin is entering a critical decision point. Mike and Ryan break down why a pullback toward $78K could still be healthy, what a move through $90K could unlock, and why Bitcoin’s next move may set the tone for the broader market. They also cover improving macro conditions, stock-market strength, and how to manage risk in the early bull.
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:12 Bitcoin’s Next Move
3:56 Zooming Out on Crypto
7:48 The Summer Rebound
11:58 Bitcoin Leads the Cycle
16:41 Profit-Taking Pressure
18:43 Stablecoins and Liquidity
23:19 Macro Shifts and Jobs
26:21 Market Damage Beneath
33:49 Bitcoin’s Key Levels
38:00 Breaking 90K Resistance
40:28 Holding Through the Bull
46:28 Investor Journal Close
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Crypto is acting like a bull market even as macro risks keep building. Mike and Ryan break down why Bitcoin and altcoins are shrugging off rising yields, rate-hike fears, and oil volatility, what the market reset is signaling, and why Mike still believes crypto is early in a new cycle. They also cover the risks that could finally challenge that view.
----
🎯Join TDR Pro & get 1-month free
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🎯20% off our annual plan ($16.67/month)
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https://x.com/RyanSAdams
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TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Intro
0:24 Macro Second Look
4:01 Crypto Outperforms Macro
6:26 Market Structure Reset
10:12 Macro Risk Tour
20:53 Liquidity and Volatility
24:53 Bull Case Holds
29:23 Stocks and AI Breadth
32:15 Bull Market Price Targets
38:04 New Referral Program
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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.