Risk Parity Radio

In this episode we answer questions from Dustin, Optimus Bill and Scott.  We discuss the common mistake of chasing tickers and low fees instead of building a portfolio around goals and carefully chosen asset classes, cowbell origins, what to do with large allocations to cash equivalents and how much do you really need, and transitioning to a retirement portfolio.  Hint:  Search "transitioning" on the podcast page at the website for more podcasts about that.

We also review March market damage and show how diversified risk parity style portfolios hold up when stocks stumble.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Links:

Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

How To Do An Asset Swap Video from Risk Parity Chronicles:  How to Do an Asset Swap

Afford Anything Episode #618:  They Ran Out of Money. I Didn’t. Here’s Why.

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Zero-fee funds, shiny tickers, and “close enough” substitutions can feel like smart investing, right up until you realize they’re steering your entire asset allocation. We dig into listener questions that expose a common trap: building a portfolio around a fund you like instead of designing a plan around your goals, your time horizon, and the asset classes that actually do the work.

We break down Fidelity Zero funds through a practical lens: mutual fund vs ETF structure, tax efficiency, portability across brokerages, and how to confirm what you’re buying with tools like the Morningstar style box. We also talk plainly about expense ratios in a world where most fees are already low, and why rebalancing, diversification, and holding the intended exposures matter more than shaving a few basis points.

Then we tackle a deceptively simple question about gold. GLTR holds multiple precious metals, but gold has a unique role as a central-bank reserve asset that behaves differently from silver, platinum, and palladium. If your portfolio needs gold as an alternative currency style diversifier, you want a gold ETF, not a basket that “kind of” looks similar.

We also cover asset location and the asset swap idea for cash equivalents, how much to keep in checking for real-life spending, and when it makes sense to shift from an all-stock accumulation portfolio toward Golden Ratio or Golden Butterfly as you approach your financial independence number. Finally, we run through March performance across major assets and our sample portfolios, including a clear reminder about what leverage can do in rough markets.

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In this episode we answer emails from Andy, John, and Todd.  We discuss what "holding dollars" means, the lure of speculation on recent events, the ongoing inadequacies of 401k and 403b plans and their incentives, and small cap value vs. small cap blend.  More Cowbell!  Before that we trade stories from the EconoMe Conference and spotlight Fairfax CASA’s work with foster kids and our fundraising efforts.

Links:
Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

EconoMe Presentation on Financial Forecasting and Base Rates:  F. Vasquez EconoMe 2026 Final Slides.pdf - Google Drive

Testfolio Comparison of LCV vs. LCG vs. SCV vs. SCG:  testfol.io/?s=cSv9C5VxOW9

Testfolio Comparison of Golden Ratio Portfolios with Small Cap Variants:  testfol.io/?s=hTcOUvd0g4J

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Markets get weird fast: oil shocks, war headlines, and that sickening moment when it feels like every asset in your portfolio is moving together. We dig into a question that pops up in exactly those moments: what does it actually mean when traders say they’re “holding dollars,” and is there a DIY investor version that makes sense? We walk through the mechanics behind dollar demand, why institutional cash moves don’t map neatly onto a home risk parity portfolio, and why cash timing is a low-odds game for long-term investors.

From there, we tackle the real culprit behind most bad decisions: the urge to tinker. We talk leverage, opportunistic investing, and the seductive idea that you’ll spot the perfect entry point if you just watch enough financial news. Our view stays consistent: a disciplined asset allocation, a clear rebalancing rule, and the patience to wait out uncertainty usually beat prediction. If you absolutely must scratch the itch, we discuss how some investors think about volatility tools when the VIX is elevated, and why even “smart” speculation should be capped and rules-based.

We also answer a practical retirement-plan headache: building diversified risk parity style exposure inside a 401k or 403b with limited fund menus. We explain why plan options change slowly, what kinds of “alternative investments” may show up instead, and why pushing for a self-directed brokerage window can be the most effective workaround. Finally, we close with a nerdy but important allocation question: small cap value vs small cap blend, how small cap growth can sneak in, and why index selection (CRSP vs deeper value tilts like S&P 600 value style exposure) can change what your backtest is really telling you.

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In this episode we answer emails from Nicholas, Nathan and Lisa.  We discuss  how much gold is enough and how much is too much, why calculators disagree and the best ways to use them, and what “better” means when the future is uncertain. We also walk through a FIRE portfolio headed toward retirement and talk briefly about finding an advisor familiar with risk parity principles.

And before that, in our Queen Mary segment, we hear a Fairfax CASA story about how consistent advocacy supports kids in foster care.

Links:

Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

Nicholas's Gold Analysis Link:  Plotting withdrawal rates, drawdowns, and returns for different risk parity portfolios - Google Sheets

Testfolio Golden Backtests:  testfol.io/?s=45IearFlQbV

Afford Anything Episode #618:  They Ran Out of Money. I Didn’t. Here’s Why

Afford Anything Risk Parity Portfolio Blueprint:  Afford Anything frank-vasquez-risk-parity-portfolio-BluePrint.pdf - Google Drive

Optimus Bill's Interview on Bigger Pockets Money:  The Decumulation Strategy After Hitting Financial Independence | Bill Yount

Optimus Bill on Catching Up to FI:  Founder of 'Catching Up to FI' Just Hit Financial Independence, Now What? | Bill Yount | 196

Optimus Bill's Financial Advisor:  Kardinal Financial — Flat Fee & Fee-Only Financial Advisor Bryan Minogue | Madison, WI

Breathless AI-Bot Summary:

A backtest can make almost any portfolio look brilliant, especially when one tweak “wins” by a fraction of a percent. We dig into one of the most common examples: gold allocation in a risk parity portfolio. If PortfolioCharts shows 20 to 25 percent gold beating 10 to 15 percent for safe withdrawal rate, should you follow the numbers or trust your nerves? We explain where the 10 to 15 percent “sweet spot” comes from, why tiny gold slices rarely matter, and how overfitting turns a clean chart into a fragile plan.

From there we zoom out to the real skill: comparing imperfect portfolios without pretending the future will match the past. I share why you should use multiple calculators and multiple datasets, how start dates can change results, and why swapping managed futures, commodities, and gold can flip the outcome. The point is not a magic formula, it is a durable range of allocations that survives uncertainty and keeps sequence of returns risk from wrecking your retirement.

We also tackle a detailed FIRE email from a 45-year-old aiming to retire in about five years. We talk expense tracking as the foundation of retirement planning, why liquid assets matter more than net worth, and how to upgrade diversification with Treasury bonds rather than corporate-heavy bond funds. Finally, we cover inflation protection realities, including why TIPS can still drop in a rate shock and why managed futures often behave differently when inflation spikes.

If you found this useful, subscribe, share it with a friend planning retirement, and leave a review so more DIY investors can find Risk Parity Radio.
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In this episode we answer emails from Lee, Leo, Tony, and Samuel.  We revel in Lee's generosity and discuss why we hold gold and treasuries, why recent performance should not drive allocation changes and common amateur investor fallacies, how to think about diversification when you invest outside the US, and how to think about correlations in a four quadrant model.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Links:

Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

David Stein Interview:  How to Think Clearly About Money Without Obsessing Over It with David Stein | White Coat Investor

Portfolio Charts International Portfolios Analysis:  What Global Withdrawal Rates Teach Us About Ideal Retirement Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Many Happy Returns Podcast with Tyler #!:  Building a Bulletproof Retirement Portfolio, with Tyler from Portfolio Charts - Many Happy Returns

Many Happy Returns Podcast with Tyler #2:  How to Pick Your Perfect Portfolio, with Tyler from Portfolio Charts - Many Happy Returns

Claudia Moise Paper with US Treasuries Correlation Data:  Flights to Safety, Volatility Risk, and Monetary Policy by Claudia E. Moise :: SSRN

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summaries:

Gold is up, bonds are weird, and everyone suddenly wants to “swap something out” based on what happened last quarter. We slow that impulse down and get back to first principles: what job does each asset do in a long-term risk parity style portfolio, and what happens when you start making allocation decisions from a gut feeling about what looks overbought or hated right now?

We dig into a listener question about replacing gold inside the Golden Ratio Portfolio and explain why utilities are not a true substitute. Utilities can be useful, but they behave like stocks more than people admit, and they often carry interest-rate sensitivity that overlaps with bonds. If you want something that behaves more like gold’s diversifying role, we talk through what characteristics matter most, including low correlation to both stocks and bonds, and why managed futures is the more logical comparison. Along the way, we call out the common traps that wreck DIY portfolios: cherry-picked dates, short-term volatility panic, and the “crystal ball” mindset that quietly turns investing into trading.

For our non-US listeners, we tackle how being based in the UK or investing in pound sterling can change implementation details without changing the big picture goal. We discuss currency risk, home-country bias, why US equities still matter for global exposure, and the tough question of whether your bond ballast should be in local currency, US dollars, or a mix. Then we answer a deep question about correlations: why stock-bond correlation is not random, how it shifts across macro regimes, and why treasuries tend to deliver negative correlation when it matters most, during recessions.

We close with weekly portfolio performance across our sample portfolios and why the most disciplined move is often to do nothing.
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In this episode we answer emails from TJ, John and Optimus Bill.  We discuss TJ's modified Golden Ratio portfolio and backtests, maximizing withdrawals with flexibility, ZROZ vs. TLT simulated leverage, gambling problems, intermediate accumulation to pay down a mortgage, and assorted allocations questions about mid-caps and other funds.

We also talk about our Fairfax CASA fundraiser in our Queen Mary segment and a recent Catching Up to FI presentation at the end.

Links:

Links:
Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA
TJ's Portfolio:  testfol.io/?s=gJEgezdqVdy

Portfolio Charts Risk Parity style Accumulation Article:  Minimize Your Miss – Portfolio Charts

Risk Parity Chronicles ZROZ vs. TLT Analysis:  Bond Allocation Sizing - Google Sheets

Risk Parity Chronicles KBWP Article:  The Search for a Low-Beta Equity Unicorn - by Justin

Catching Up to FI Presentation:  Catching Up To FI Illinois/Wisconsin Meeting Presentation - YouTube

Catching Up to FI Presentation Slides:  The_Risk_Parity_Mission for Catching Up To FI.pdf - Google Drive

Catching Up to FI Presentation Summary Video:  Catching Up To FI Risk Parity Portfolios Meeting and Presentation.mp4 - Google Drive

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:
A listener writes from overseas with a situation that strips retirement down to the essentials: no pension, no Social Security “backup plan,” and a real need to get the portfolio right. We walk through his modified Golden Ratio style allocation using growth and value funds, small-cap value tilts, long-duration Treasury strips, gold, and alternatives like DBMF, then talk about what matters more than a pretty spreadsheet: whether you can live with the drawdowns and keep the plan steady for decades.

From there we get practical about retirement withdrawals and the assumptions hiding underneath them. We explain why a 5.5% withdrawal rate can be realistic when you pair it with flexible rules like a floor and ceiling approach, and why “inflation” is not one number that applies to everyone. If you’re living abroad, spending in another currency, or even willing to relocate, your personal inflation experience can diverge from CPI, which changes how you should think about risk, resilience, and what flexibility is worth.

We also tackle the investor temptations that never seem to go away: debating ZROZ versus TLT, obsessing over duration ratios, and tinkering with allocations when the market gets loud. We share a simple constraint that helps many DIY investors stay sane: build a small sandbox for experiments so your core portfolio stays intact. We finish with an intermediate accumulation question about investing toward a future mortgage payoff, plus a clear framework for why splitting short and long Treasurys can be useful, and why international diversification often shows up as currency exposure in modern markets. Subscribe, share this with a friend who’s rebuilding their portfolio, and leave a review with the withdrawal rate question you’re trying to answer.

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