Risk Parity Radio

In this episode we answer emails from Milo, Scott, and Joel.  We discuss bad advisor incentives and how to classify them by their business models, identify the only business model you want to patronize, and then move on to Treasury STRIPS and rebalancing realities, practical withdrawal mechanics with a test portfolio, and why Bitcoin’s high correlation to tech stocks undermines its role as a diversifier. 

We also celebrate the final results of the Fairfax CASA matching campaign and share a thank-you message from their executive director.
Links:

Classifying Financial Advisors By Their Business Models:  Interacting with the Financial Services Industry with SC Gutierrez

Kitces Article on Rebalancing:  Optimal Rebalancing – Time Horizons Vs Tolerance Bands

Building a Sample Portfolio Video:  We Built a 5% SWR Retirement Portfolio Using Fidelity in 48 Minutes (Golden Ratio Portfolio) - YouTube

Video on Managed Futures and SDMF:  Simplify SDMF in Focus - YouTube

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

A matching donor puts $20,000 on the table, the audience steps up, and suddenly Fairfax CASA is funded far beyond what anyone expected. We start with that story because it says something important about this community: you can be serious about investing and still lead with empathy. We share the final campaign results and a message from Fairfax CASA’s executive director about what this support means for children navigating foster care and the court system.

Then we shift back to what Risk Parity Radio does best: practical emails from DIY investors who want clearer rules and fewer regrets. We talk about the “67-fund portfolio” problem, why complexity is often a sales tactic, and how to screen out conflicted advice from banks, credit unions, insurance shops, and big marketing-heavy firms. We also dig into the AUM model versus flat fee and hourly planning, plus why smart retirement planning often comes down to tax planning and behavioral discipline more than picking the perfect fund.

From there, we get hands-on with portfolio construction and process. We cover Treasury STRIPS funds like GOVZ, why you cannot reliably time the best rebalancing moment during a recession, and what to do instead with partial rebalancing or rebalancing bands. We also answer a nuts-and-bolts withdrawal question using a test portfolio approach, and we close with a straight take on Bitcoin correlation: if it moves with stocks, it is not diversification. Along the way, we explain what “alternative assets” really means and why gold and managed futures keep showing up in risk parity style asset allocation.

Subscribe, share this with a friend who’s tired of salesy advice, and leave a review so more investors can find the show.
Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Michael, Jim, and Optimus Bill.  We start with a 67-year-old investor who is all-in on equities and cannot sleep, and how changing portfolio allocations can lead to better rest. We share a framework of "the three H's" for determining whether you are Hustling, Hoarding, or Harvesting your way through retirement, and how that may impact your well-being over time. We also dig into why people chase bond ladders and bucketeering.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Testfolio Analysis with Sleep-Better-At-Night Metrics:  Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation | testfolio

Optimus Bill's Bond Ladder Extravaganza Article:  Building a Bond Ladder with Individual Bonds and ETFs

Ben Carlson's Explanation As To Why Bond Ladders and Bond Funds are Functionally the Same:  Owning Individual Bonds vs. Owning a Bond Fund - A Wealth of Common Sense

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Your portfolio should not be a nightly stress test. We start with a listener who is 67, 100% in equity funds, and staring down retirement in the next one to three years while worrying about an extended downturn. From there we get practical about “sleep-at-night” portfolio design, comparing volatility, maximum drawdown, and even the Ulcer Index across common setups like an S&P 500 heavy approach, a Bogleheads-style three-fund portfolio, a classic 60 40 mix, and a risk parity style Golden Ratio portfolio.

Then we zoom out to the bigger question of what money is actually for. I share a simple framework I call the three H’s: hustling, hoarding, and harvesting. We talk through how each approach affects real life outcomes like relationships, experiences, buying back your time, and giving, and why a portfolio that supports harvesting can matter more than a portfolio that simply wins a return contest.

We also tackle a timely question about bond ladder ETFs and why so many ladder, bucket, and time-segmentation products keep popping up. The blunt take: a lot of it solves a fear problem more than a finance problem, and the difference between ladders and bond funds is often smaller than people think. We close with our weekly review of the eight sample portfolios, covering stocks, treasury bonds, gold, commodities, managed futures, and more.

If this helped you think more clearly about retirement investing and diversified asset allocation, subscribe, share the show with a friend, and leave a review so more DIY investors can find it.
Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Zach, Brian, Holly and Optimus Bill.  We discuss a way to estimate retirement health care costs using current data, clear up the “index fund” labelling problem and talk about why indexed dogs and cats won't start living together, have fun with milkshakes, and map out what tends to help a portfolio survive stagflation.  But first we celebrate a huge community win for Fairfax CASA with Queen Mary.

Links:

J.P Morgan Inflation Study:  JP_Morgan_White_Paper_Three_Retirement_Spending_Surprises.pdf - Google Drive

Ben Felix Interview on Bigger Pockets Money:  Is Small Cap Value Worth It? Ben Felix Explains the Truth About AVUV & Factor Investing

Holly's Milkshake Link:  I can’t believe he didn’t notice 💀 #shorts

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

One spreadsheet can calm a lot of retirement anxiety, especially when the scariest expense is the one you cannot “average” from your current budget: health care. We start with a listener question about forecasting medical costs and how to decide whether an HSA can realistically cover them. Instead of relying on hype filled calculators, we talk through an actuarial style method using real ACA marketplace premiums by age in today’s dollars, then turning that stream into a flat, term premium like estimate you can inflation adjust and stress test.

We also tackle a worry we hear everywhere: if everyone is buying index funds, do they stop working? The answer depends on what you mean by “index fund.” We unpack the messy language around mutual funds vs ETFs, cap weighted vs other index designs, and why a better mental model is rules based “algorithmic” investing versus human stock picking. From there, we discuss why diversification often means holding more than just large cap weighted exposure, and why factor investing and small cap value tilts keep coming up in serious portfolio design.

Then we wade into the market regime that makes risk parity listeners sweat: stagflation. We explain why managed futures often does the heavy lifting when inflation and rates trend, how commodities fit, why gold can help over long arcs but disappoint on the clock, and why concentrated sector bets in energy or utilities are not automatically the solution. We also share a realistic take on margin loans as a cash flow tool, including why broker interest rates matter if you ever use that lever.

If you got value from this one, subscribe, share it with a DIY investor friend, and leave a review so more people can find the show.
Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Kyle, Tim, and Tim.  We discuss dealing with a recalcitrant parent who won’t talk about the straw in their milkshake,  outline flexible retirement withdrawal planning with asset swaps, and explain how to escape TSP limitations.

And THEN we our go through our weekly and monthly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

Financial Personality Traits Research Presentation:  Big Five Unified Financial Profiles Presentation.pdf - Google Drive

Tax Book:  Amazon.com: Tax Planning To and Through Early Retirement: 9798999841599: Garrett, Cody, Mullaney, Sean: Books

Admiral Ackbar's Tax Book Summary:  Admiral Ackbar's Guide to Tax Planning in Retirement Slides.pdf - Google Drive

Kitces Article:  Tax-Efficient Retirement Portfolio Spending Strategies

Asset Swap Video from Risk Parity Chronicles:  How to Do an Asset Swap

Optimus Bill on Bigger Pockets Money:  The Decumulation Strategy After Hitting Financial Independence | Bill Yount

Optimus Bill on the Morningstar Long View Podcast:  The Long View: Bill Yount: How Late Starters Can Find Financial Independence

Breathless AI-Bot Summary:

Someone you love is doing “fine” on paper, yet you can’t shake the feeling they’re getting quietly drained by bad financial products or high advisory fees. That tension is where we start: the hard part often isn’t investment math, it’s the relationship dynamics that make a parent shut down the moment money comes up.

We read an email from a listener trying to help his retired mom who prefers to delegate and doesn’t want to learn finance. We talk through why children often can’t be “a prophet in their own land,” how to lower the temperature, and why it can be smarter to focus on replacing a poor-fit advisor instead of trying to force a DIY investing conversion. If your goal is preserving peace while improving outcomes, this is a realistic playbook.

Next we get into retirement withdrawal strategy and tax planning. The usual media advice about which account to tap first falls apart once you factor in lifetime tax minimization, Roth conversion windows, Social Security timing, ACA subsidy cliffs, and IRMAA. We also explain the idea of an asset swap so you can reduce an inflated holding (like gold in a Roth IRA) while keeping your overall asset allocation and diversification intact.

Finally, we answer a newly retired federal employee wrestling with Thrift Savings Plan limits, the case for a TSP rollover to an IRA, how to think about 72T SEPP planning account-by-account, and how to rebalance when not every asset is available in every account. We close with our weekly risk parity style portfolio review and the May distribution rundown across the sample portfolios.

Subscribe, share the show with a DIY investor friend, and leave a review on your podcast app so more people can find it. What’s the toughest money conversation you’ve had with family?
Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Thirsty Horse, Mark, and Mike.  We discuss a wise friend and lessons on clarity, happiness, and preparing for the end, how we got involved with the Father McKenna Center and Fairfax CASA, and dig into the real work behind CASA and foster care.  Then we pivot back to practical investing and tax planning without shortcuts.

Links:

Fairfax CASA Donation Page:  Donate - Fairfax CASA

Choose FI Episode on The Five Regrets of the Dying (and Mamie):  Top Five Regrets of the Dying | Book Club | Ep 574

Breathless Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

You can have a rock-solid retirement portfolio and still miss the whole point. We start with a final push for Mary’s Fairfax CASA fundraiser, then share why a Court Appointed Special Advocate matters for kids in the foster care system and what real advocacy looks like when courts, schools, and social services move slowly. Mary also tells a case outcome that sticks with you: a child moving from neglect and instability to a stable home after a parent does the hard work over years.

From there, we answer a listener who asks the question behind so many “financial independence” plans: how do you decide what level of time, emotional commitment, and responsibility you can take on? Frank revisits the story of Mamie McCoy and the urgency that comes with a finite life, then we get concrete about the skills that make a strong CASA and the traits that help foster parents provide stability, empathy, and advocacy for children affected by trauma.

We also handle classic Risk Parity Radio topics for the DIY investor: sustainable withdrawal rates, asset allocation, and diversification. We talk through an equity-heavy portfolio that adds long-term Treasuries like VGLT for recession insurance, plus our simple “give away 1% of your portfolio each year” goal for intentional generosity. Finally, we take on portfolio automation, rebalancing, and a big tax-planning mistake: discounting traditional IRA balances by a made-up percentage instead of modeling taxes properly and considering Social Security timing.

If you get value from the show, subscribe, share it with a friend, and leave a rating and review. What’s one cause you’d actually show up for with your time?
Support the show