PERSPECTIVES Weekly: The Investment podcast

• Inflation, Tariffs and the Growth Dilemma

  Rarely does a week go by without tariffs being in the spotlight. In this week’s PERSPECTIVES podcast, we asked Christian Nolting, our Global Chief Investment Officer, what he expects them to mean for investors."The uncertainty of tariffs is not helpful for growth," he said, noting that professional investors have very different views, and therefore a range of expectations for tariffs, worldwide. “We expect tariffs at the higher end for Europe, as we have seen with Mexico and Canada,” he added. However, he does see opportunities for negotiations down the road. Christian also walked us through his expectations for future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, following the widely expected decision to keep rates unchanged at last week’s meeting. “Central banks are still a bit concerned about inflation – a view we fully share,” he said, adding that it's "important for markets in this environment that central banks do not add more volatility."For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

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  10:42
• An updated outlook, and a Fed decision on tap

  The private bank is standing by its positive market outlook for the next 12 months, and "it will be an earnings-driven market", says Dr Dirk Steffen, the Private Bank's EMEA CIO. Double-digit earnings growth remains a possibility and, while major U.S. stock indices have recently entered correction territory, Dirk says the U.S. economy ought to "regain some footing" after its recent soft patch.Meanwhile, a Federal Reserve policy decision is due this week and, even after a recent softening of U.S. inflation figures, Dirk does not expect the central bank will move quickly to bring down interest rates. "We remain in the camp of higher for longer.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.com.In Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

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  13:59
• Volatility amid tariff back-and-forth

  Much of the recent market volatility can be attributed to the wave of on-again-off-again tariff threats from the U.S., which "always result in a big risk-off knee jerk", says Stefanie Holtze-Jen, the Private Bank's APAC CIO. But she notes that while we see China retaliating with tariffs of its own, "it looks very much like they want to negotiate, rather than escalate."The week ahead “will not be boring”, Stefanie says, as we will receive a wealth of data, including Chinese producer and consumer prices. On the tariff front, she notes that Chinese retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural goods are due to take effect, and a deadline is approaching for the U.S. to apply tariffs on some European Union metals.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

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  9:37
• What’s behind the strength in European stocks?

  The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge inched down at the end of last week, but "the main topic remains, for me, inflation", says the Private Bank’s global Chief Investment Officer, Christian Nolting. Prices are still rising more quickly than the central bank would like. Still, "the good news is this came in line with expectations of the market", Christian says.Meanwhile, Christian considers the reasons that European stock indexes have outperformed their U.S. counterparts this year. And in the week ahead he says he’ll be watching U.S. nonfarm payrolls, the European Central Bank’s policy decision, and China’s National People’s Congress.For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

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  8:30
• Sturdy stocks, stubborn interest rates

  The stock market's ongoing strength in the face of geopolitical instability "is really driven by the fact that the economy is still quite resilient", says Deepak Puri, the Private Bank’s Chief Investment Officer for the Americas, pointing to solid labour markets and strong economic growth. "It seems we're in a good spot.”Earnings reports from the fourth quarter have also provided plenty of reasons for optimism. "Banks are doing well, which is important to providing liquidity to markets”, Deepak says, adding that technology megacaps showed impressive earnings growth. Still, Deepak notes that the 2025 outlook for earnings and revenue growth are somewhat subdued. And U.S. interest rates may not come down much this year, if at all: “Almost every Fed speaker has said that the bar is too high for them to cut rates, primarily driven by inflation concerns.”For more investing insights, please visit deutschewealth.comIn Europe, Middle East and Africa as well as in Asia Pacific this material is considered marketing material, but this is not the case in the U.S. No assurance can be given that any forecast or target can be achieved. Forecasts are based on assumptions, estimates, opinions and hypothetical models which may prove to be incorrect. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.Performance refers to a nominal value based on price gains/losses and does not take into account inflation. Inflation will have a negative impact on the purchasing power of this nominal monetary value. Depending on the current level of inflation, this may lead to a real loss in value, even if the nominal performance of the investment is positive. Investments come with risk. The value of an investment can fall as well as rise and you might not get back the amount originally invested at any point in time. Your capital may be at risk.The services described in this podcast are provided by Deutsche Bank AG or by its subsidiaries and/or affiliates in accordance with appropriate local legislation and regulation. Deutsche Bank AG is subject to comprehensive supervision by the European Central Bank (“ECB”), by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) and by Germany’s central bank (“Deutsche Bundesbank”). Brokerage services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities activities in the United States.Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking services in the United States are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group.The products, services, information and/or materials referred to within this podcast may not be available for residents of certain jurisdictions. © 2025 Deutsche Bank AG and/or its subsidiaries. All rights reserved. This podcast may not be used, reproduced, copied or modified without the written consent of Deutsche Bank AG. 030620 030121

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  9:34

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