PodcastsNegóciosDoug Casey's Take

Doug Casey's Take

Matthew Smith
Doug Casey's Take
Último episódio

406 episódios

  • Doug Casey's Take

    A Market Crash Incoming?

    06/03/2026 | 48min
    Markets, Middle East Escalation, and Global Risk: Subscriber Q&A on Investing, Relocation, and Ethics
    Doug and Matt answer subscriber questions, focusing first on an escalating conflict involving Iran and the Gulf that they view as extremely serious despite a muted market response; Doug says stock and bond markets are overpriced, warns of a potential crash, criticizes demands like "unconditional surrender," questions U.S. involvement (including insuring ships in the Strait of Hormuz), and expects global economic spillovers, noting Gulf vulnerabilities such as desalination, food supply chains, and remittances. They then discuss Paraguay's unusual culture and land-based investment opportunities, dividend investing (noting oil stocks), practicalities of living/investing in Uruguay and Argentina (including taxes and policy changes under Milei), resource investing diligence, when to sell gold/silver, IPO lockup/exit issues, storing metals abroad, and conclude with a discussion of ethical decision-making frameworks and concerns about political leadership's morality.
    00:00 Market Reaction to Iran
    01:06 Overpriced Markets Warning
    02:50 Gulf Risks and Dubai
    04:08 Unconditional Surrender Debate
    05:12 Strait Insurance Plan
    06:49 Who Benefits From War
    08:27 Regional Spillover Effects
    10:21 Supply Chains and Remittances
    13:07 War as Market Catalyst
    13:46 Paraguay Living and Culture
    16:22 Paraguay Investing Basics
    17:55 Dividend Stocks and Oil
    18:26 Uruguay Plan B Logistics
    20:45 Tungsten Fund Question
    21:52 When to Sell Gold
    23:00 Selling Shares After IPO
    23:54 Iran Travel and Motives
    24:12 Missed Iran Polo Trip
    24:40 What the Iran War Is About
    26:40 Buying a Farm in Argentina
    29:01 Argentina Export Taxes Explained
    29:45 Why Gold Stocks Fall Out of Favor
    31:18 Is This the Last Gold Bull
    33:28 Staying in the US Safely
    35:27 Replacing Income After Selling
    37:30 Next High Ground Novel Update
    38:21 Getting Physical Gold in Uruguay
    38:57 War Impact on Mining Stocks
    40:41 Ethical Reasoning and Consequences
    46:19 Politics Morality and Wrap Up
  • Doug Casey's Take

    This Is What A Crisis Looks Like!!

    04/03/2026 | 55min
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com
    Matt and Doug discuss the reported US invasion of Iran and warn it could escalate unpredictably and badly, potentially toward a wider regional conflict or even World War III. They argue information from the war zone is unreliable, but note Iran's missile/drone capabilities and the economic asymmetry of expensive US interceptors versus cheap attacks. They criticize launching strikes during negotiations, question US motives tied to Israel and long-standing regional history, and describe risks around the Strait of Hormuz for oil, gas, and fertilizer flows. They debate claims about attacks on Gulf targets, possible Israeli involvement, and confusion over downed aircraft, while highlighting how infrastructure like data centers and banking systems can become targets. The conversation shifts to markets (gold, oil, selected stocks), and broader "greater depression" themes about public crisis-blindness, government growth, inflation, and household financial stress.
    00:00 War Breaks Out
    01:33 Bases Everywhere 
    03:19 Fog of War
    05:20 Costly Interceptors
    05:59 Why Are We Involved
    08:17 Israel and US Aid
    11:29 Religious End Times
    15:33 Iran Strikes Back
    17:26 Negotiations Then Attack
    24:09 Strait of Hormuz Risks
    25:19 Escorts and Escalation
    28:11 Cyber and Infrastructure
    30:02 Who Hit the Refineries
    30:38 False Flags and Mossad Claims
    31:47 Fifteen Shootdown Mystery
    33:48 Casualties and Interceptor Costs
    35:07 Boots on Ground and Kurds
    37:32 Markets Gold and Oil Plays
    41:44 Why People Miss Crises
    49:29 Greater Depression Timeline
    50:13 How Iran War Ends
    50:59 Assassinations and Nuclear Risk
    54:12 Wrap Up and Audience Questions
  • Doug Casey's Take

    Scammers, "crappy little" mining stocks, and a war nobody's pricing in

    27/02/2026 | 35min
    Doug & Matt Q&A: Scam Warnings, Private Placements, Gold Outlook, Business Advice, and Living Abroad
    Doug and Matt warn subscribers about scammers impersonating them on Substack to pitch a mentorship program with urgent funding deadlines, stressing they will never solicit business opportunities and that their only related activity is sharing private placement ideas with VIP members. They discuss strong recent performance in small mining stocks, arguing the sector remains tiny, illiquid, and largely unowned by the public and fund managers, and explain why they favor private placements for discounts and warrants, citing a VIP deal in Midnight Sun copper explorer bought at $0.22 with a $0.30 warrant and later trading above $1.35. They answer questions on starting or buying businesses by focusing on solving niche problems and avoiding "influencer" strategies, remain bullish on gold and related stocks, discuss English-speaking relocation options and Chile's livability, share stories about reckless youthful speeding, touch on glyphosate concerns, and speculate about potential U.S. action against Iran.
    00:00 Scam Alert Mentorship Messages
    01:18 Mining Stocks Bull Market Thesis
    03:16 Private Placements VIP Strategy
    05:17 Starting Businesses Finding a Niche
    07:11 Influencer Culture Reality Check
    11:04 Reinvesting Profits Trend Following
    11:51 Second Residency English Options
    14:43 Corvette Chase Jail Story
    17:27 Muscle Cars and Drag Racing
    20:16 Gold Price Overextension Debate
    23:21 Living in Chile Pros and Cons
    26:12 Glyphosate and Organic Food
    28:06 Holding Cash in Treasuries
    28:44 Buying a Business Owner Financing
    30:33 Iran War Talk and Wrap Up
  • Doug Casey's Take

    Iran & Epstein Fallout

    20/02/2026 | 52min
    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com Doug and the host discuss escalating tensions with Iran and the risks of US military action, then pivot to media and politics including Washington Post subscriber losses/layoffs, Trump's cabinet optics, Pam Bondi's testimony, and expectations around the Epstein files. They answer subscriber questions on the DEAGEL report, the dollar and immigration, retiring in El Salvador vs. the Southern Cone, robot leasing and rapid advances in China, unrealized-gains taxation in the Netherlands, rare-earth supply constraints, lawfare experiences and AI-driven enforcement, Hong Kong property, and why they favor gold/silver and mining stocks over overpriced US equities.
    00:00 Iran War Drumbeat: Carriers, Motives, and Blowback Risks
    04:06 Nukes, News Fatigue, and Tuning Out the Doom Cycle
    07:22 Washington Post Meltdown: Subscribers, Layoffs, and AI Newsrooms
    10:53 Scouting America & Eagle Scout Perks (Plus a Fed Chair Joke)
    15:48 Pam Bondi, Trump's Cabinet Optics, and the Epstein Files Fallout
    20:47 Subscriber Q&A: The Deagel Report—Forecast or Psyop?
    23:31 If the Dollar Loses Reserve Status: Immigration, Inflation, and Tariffs
    26:46 Retiring to El Salvador vs. the Southern Cone (Argentina Rumors)
    29:21 Free Speech vs. the State: When "Hate" Becomes a Censorship Pretext
    29:50 Robot Ownership Goes Subscription: Leasing, Updates, and Remote Kill Switches
    31:28 China's Humanoid Robot Boom: Dances, Kung Fu, and a Friendly Terminator Future
    32:25 Netherlands' Unrealized Gains Tax Shock: Capital Flight, Passports, and US Spillover
    35:10 Can the West Replace China's Rare Earth Processing? The Real Bottleneck
    36:54 Lawfare in Practice: The Domain Name Lawsuit That Cost $35K 39:11 AI + the Legal System: $3,500/hr Lawyers and the Coming Explosion of Automated Enforcement
    41:52 If Democrats Sweep Power: Portfolio Defense, Debt Reality, and Why Gold Stays
    44:03 Seasteading & City-States: Why It's a Billionaire's Game (Minerva, Honduras, and Coast Guards)
    47:45 Hong Kong Property Revisited: Common Law, Deflation, and a Legendary Real Estate Win
    49:25 Should You Avoid US Stocks? Overvaluation, Currency Debasement, and the Mining Stocks Bet (Wrap-Up)
  • Doug Casey's Take

    Will Gold Stocks "Re-Rate" When Earnings Catch Up to $Gold?

    13/02/2026 | 19min
    Crisis Investing Q&A: Gold Miners, US Politics, and Safe Investments with Doug Casey
    In this episode, Doug Casey addresses questions from Crisis Investing subscribers. Topics include the impact of gold prices on miners and explorers, the potential benefits of keeping a portion of your portfolio in cash, and the possible advantages of investing in Aris Mining's planned move to the NYSE. Doug also gives his take on meeting political figures, the risks of investing in private companies, and the merits of retiring in Panama. Additionally, Doug discusses the issues with security in Mexico, the implications of Uruguay's president visiting China, and the considerations for storing gold to avoid potential US government confiscation.
    00:00 Introduction and Overview
    00:11 Gold Miners and Stock Appreciation
    01:50 Meeting Political Figures
    06:15 Private Company Investments
    08:05 Cash Management Strategies
    09:36 Aris Mining and NYSE Listing
    10:50 The Great Taking and Economic Concerns
    12:41 Retirement in Panama and Other Locations
    14:53 Silver Investment Risks in Mexico
    16:49 US-China Relations and Uruguay's Strategy
    17:58 Gold Confiscation and Offshore Storage
    19:14 Conclusion and Wrap-Up

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Sobre Doug Casey's Take

Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets. Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980. He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.
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